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Scott Bessent, a hedge fund veteran, has been nominated by President-elect Donald Trump as Treasury secretary, signaling a moderate approach to economic issues, including the deficit and tariffs. Trump's proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports, particularly targeting steel dumping through Mexico, could benefit U.S. steel producers like Nucor, though immediate impacts may be limited. Wall Street anticipates a positive market opening, buoyed by Bessent's nomination, as bond yields decline ahead of significant economic events, including the Federal Reserve's inflation report.
US Treasury yields are expected to decline as the incoming Trump administration, led by Treasury secretary nominee Scott Bessent, navigates policy constraints and aims to avoid inflationary pressures. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to continue cutting interest rates, with a forecast of 125 basis points by the end of 2025, while the US dollar is viewed as overvalued, prompting strategies to reduce exposure. Investors are advised to lock in elevated yields on quality bonds as cash returns diminish.
President-elect Donald Trump’s nomination of hedge fund manager Scott Bessent as U.S. Treasury Secretary has sparked optimism in global markets, with currencies rallying and the U.S. dollar index falling. Bessent, seen as a moderate choice, is expected to advocate for a softer approach to tariffs and fiscal responsibility, potentially easing concerns over inflation and deficit spending. His appointment could signal a shift towards pro-business policies, boosting investor confidence and impacting Asian currencies positively.
The Indian rupee experienced its strongest single-day gain since June, closing at 84.2875 against the US dollar, up 0.2%. This surge was driven by dollar inflows from MSCI's global equity index rebalancing, alongside a weaker dollar and declining US bond yields. The dollar index fell 0.5% to 106.8, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped 7 basis points to 4.34%.
U.S. Treasury yields fell as investors reacted positively to President-elect Trump's Treasury secretary pick, Scott Bessent, calming concerns about the economy. Bessent's nomination has led to lower bond yields, higher equity indices, and a weaker dollar, with markets now focused on upcoming inflation data ahead of Thanksgiving. Key economic indicators, including the PCE price index, are anticipated to provide insights into the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
US equity index futures rose following President-elect Trump's selection of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, contributing to the Dow's record close above 44K, up 2% last week. Despite positive US PMI data, consumer sentiment fell short of expectations, while asset managers reduced their net long positions from 76% to 63%. IG client sentiment shifted to extreme short at 79%, contrasting with CoT speculators' reduced net long positions at 62%.
IG
The Dollar Index fell 0.6% at the week's start, influenced by a 10 basis point drop in the US 10-year yield. Concerns over U.S. fiscal debt sustainability topped the Fed's financial stability report, alongside geopolitical tensions and political uncertainty. The bond market reacted positively to a recent appointment, though its long-term impact on the dollar and interest rates remains uncertain.
IG
President-elect Donald Trump's Treasury secretary pick, Scott Bessent, is viewed by financial markets as a stabilizing force within the new administration. Bessent, head of Key Square Capital and known for his fiscal conservatism, may advocate for a broad economic agenda while adopting a moderate stance on tariffs as negotiation tools.
The DAX 40 is showing signs of a bullish recovery, consolidating near recent highs while outperforming other European indices. Key support is at 18,900 points, with a potential target of 20,000 points if the upward trend continues, bolstered by strong performances from Deutsche Telekom and SAP. The upcoming German elections could further influence market sentiment, especially with the CDU/CSU's pro-business stance.
IG
President-elect Donald Trump plans to impose new tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China starting on his first day in office, targeting Canada and Mexico with a 25% tariff and China with a 10% tariff. This strategy aims to leverage trade negotiations to address issues like illegal migration and drug trafficking, while potentially increasing market volatility. Despite the tariff threats, the overall economic outlook remains positive, with expectations of solid US growth supported by pro-business policies.

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